Union Budget: A key event, not a routine exercise

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Sushim Banerjee:  Feb 26 2013, 00:24 IST
For the Indian economy, the pre-Budget week is unarguably one of the most keenly awaited periods. As things stand today, this year’s Budget is not going to be a populist one, which means no tinkering with direct taxes to give relief to salary-earners, except a remote possibility of raising tax rates for the rich. With the RBI’s monetary policy focused primarily on tackling inflation, which implies not cutting down interest rates at the cost of industrial and GDP growth, it is widely expected that the finance minister may announce some pro-growth measures.

Foremost among them is the reduction in excise duty on some of the major raw materials, such as cement and steel, in order to bring down the cost of production of a host of finished products and spruce up their demand. A number of finished products, such as passenger cars up to certain horsepower, home appliances and others, may also expect some relief on the indirect tax front. A rise in sales volumes is likely to make these proposals revenue-neutral.

The government is also steadfast in its resolve to contain the fiscal deficit by reining in expenditure. This process, however, is not to affect government expenditure or fund allocations in infrastructure-related departments such as power, coal, ports, airports and irrigation, and in social sectors such as housing and rural development. The capital goods sector needs support in terms of customs duty so that there is a level-playing field for imported electrical, shipbuilding and heavy machinery equipment. The local

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