Top central banks yet to move for exit

Reuters

Posted: Friday, Nov 06, 2009 at 1145 hrs IST
Updated: Friday, Nov 06, 2009 at 1145 hrs IST


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London: The top central banks have shown little inclination yet to choke off the extraordinary support given to economies shaken by global financial crisis but some have offered the first signs of changing tack.

The Federal Reserve, European Central Bank and Bank of England all left interest rates at record lows this week and the British central bank opted to pump yet more money into its economy.

The US economy quit recession in the third quarter and figures due next week are expected to show the euro zone has followed suit but Britain continues to languish.

More upbeat forward-looking data has left investors vexed as to when central banks will begin to remove stimulus -- those in Australia and Norway have already raised rates.

ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet said on Thursday he expected the euro zone economy to recover at a gradual pace in 2010, after the central bank left rates at 1.0 percent, and signalled some of the bank's liquidity measures could soon be halted.

The Bank of England decided to pump another 25 billion pounds ($41 billion) into its economy on Thursday, taking its quantitative easing (QE) to 200 billion pounds in total, but slowed the pace of the programme.

The BoE also left interest rates at a record low of 0.5 percent and said the prospect was for "a slow recovery in the level of economic activity".

The Fed on Wednesday expressed growing confidence that an economic recovery was building but stuck to its commitment to keep borrowing costs near zero for "an extended period".

The Fed said the US economy had continued to pick up but expressed concern the recovery was likely to be muted.

"We've got a number of Fed meetings to go before we will get any kind of increase," said Robert MacIntosh, chief economist at Eaton Vance Corp in Boston.

There were glimpses of preparations to start winding back some of the super-cheap liquidity on offer.

Trichet signalled that an ECB scheme to give banks ultra-cheap 12-month money -- to foster bank lending to companies and consumers -- would not be extended into next year.

He also promised to announce a decision in December on the rest of the central bank's policy of flooding markets with cheap and abundant funds, saying extraordinary liquidity measures would be "phased out in a timely and gradual fashion".

"With these tenders effectively being taken as a pledge to keep rates on hold over the ensuing 12 months, their ending in December...

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