Shale oil could boost global GDP by $2.7 tn a year: PwC
per day (bpd), and the agencies estimate it will increase to around 110 million bpd by 2035.
"Their projections ... are arguably conservative as they are based only on resources about which there is already a high degree of certainty," the report said.
"Past experience of shale oil and shale gas suggests that these resource estimates are likely to be revised upwards significantly over time."
PRICE DROP
If the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries cuts production in response to the extra supply, oil prices will fall to around $100 per barrel in today's money by 2035, the report said.
If OPEC does not cut production, oil could fall to around $83 per barrel in today's money by 2035, PwC estimated, or $50 less than the EIA's 2035 real-terms forecast price of $133.
Brent crude oil is currently trading around $119 per barrel.
Lower oil prices will feed into stronger GDP growth, adding $1.7-$2.7 trillion per year, or $230-$370 per person, PwC said.
The level of support will vary greatly, however, from country to country, it said.
"Large net oil importers such as India and Japan may see their GDP boosted by around 4 to7 percent by 2035 in our alternative scenarios, while the U.S., China, Germany and the UK might gain by around 2 to 5 percent of GDP," Hawksworth said.
Be the first to comment.
