Revised growth target ambitious, will test Centre’s ability, says Montek
"I would say that even 8% average (growth), if you work it out based on 5.8% for current year and 7% in the next year (2013-14), will mean more than 9% growth for the last three years of the Plan. That's quite an ambitious target," Ahluwalia said, ahead of Thursday's National Development Council meeting.
The Planning Commission had earlier decided to adopt 8.2% growth target for the current plan but decided to revise in the wake of fresh estimates coming from the RBI that put growth at about 5.8% for current fiscal and the finance ministry's estimate of 5.7%- 5.9%, which would be the lowest in the decade.
Without making any changes in data on resource mobilisation, the commission presented three scenarios of growth for 12th Plan.
The first and most optimistic scenario talks about a growth rate of 8% when all the prescriptions given in the Plan document is adopted. In the second scenario, the growth is pegged at 6-6.5% and in the worst-case scenario of a complete policy logjam, the figure is put further down between 5-5.5%.
This is the second time the commission has scaled down growth projection for the 12th Plan (2012-17). After initially estimating the growth rate at 9% in
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