No upturn in capex cycle as order books stay small
How sluggish the economy is is reflected in the anaemic growth of the core sector index, which gained just 2.6% y-o-y in December, thanks to negative growth in coal, natural gas and fertilisers. The index, which has a weight of 37.9% in the IIP, has seen a growth between April and December of 3.3% y-o-y on a base of 4.8% in the corresponding period of 2011-12. India’s manufacturing PMI moderated to a three-month low of 53.2 in January from 54.7 in December with the fall resulting from both domestic and export new orders; the new orders to inventory ratio fell to 1.16 from 1.21, indicating some downside risk to the PMI in February.
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