Markets cheer end of standoff on FDI, soar to 19-month high

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Summary* All eyes now on the second quarter GDP data to be released today

The end of the political standoff over FDI in multi-brand retail was cheered by the stock markets which closed at a 19-month high on Thursday. The rupee too rose 61 paisa against the dollar as foreign institutional investors bought more equity in a single day than they had at any time in November.

The uptick was aided by an investment report from Goldman Sachs which upgraded Indian stocks to ‘overweight’ from ‘market-weight’. An overweight classification for a category or country means the shares are worth stocking up. The Indian indices were among the best performers in Asia-Pacific even though all markets rose after a senior US lawmaker said the ‘fiscal cliff’ might be resolved.

The Bombay Stock Exchange benchmark Sensex Thursday closed at a 19-month high of 19,170.91. This is a gain of 328.83 points or 1.75 per cent, while the broader National Stock Exchange index Nifty closed 97.55 points or 1.7 per cent higher at 5,825.

The release of the second quarter GDP data on Friday is expected to be key data for the markets. Manish Sonthalia, vice president and fund manager at Motilal Oswal AMC-PMS, said the 19,000 figure was coming. “It has come sooner than what most people expected. Nothing to get too excited about. We will see much higher levels in the months to come,” he said.

Investors are hopeful that the domestic economy will improve and key legislative bills pushed through soon. The government has listed 25 bills for consideration and passing by the House and another 10 for introduction during the winter session, including the PDRFA Bill, Insurance Laws (Amendment) Bill and the Companies Bill.

However, GDP numbers on Friday could show growth has moderated to a decade’s low. Finance minister P Chidambaram has estimated it at 5.5 to 6 per cent in the current fiscal.

Goldman Sachs upgrades India, projects 6.5% growth in 2013

Mumbai: Goldman Sachs has raised India to ‘overweight’ from ‘market-weight’, citing growth recovery and inflation moderation ahead.

The US investment bank said that MSCI India’s valuation was well below the 5-year average of 14.9 times, making India an attractive entry point and one of the stronger structural growth markets in the region. In other words, it’s a signal to foreign investors that they can increase their allocation to India, which has seen inflows of Rs 1 lakh crore in 2012 so far.

Citing inflation moderation ahead, Goldman Sachs said that economic growth is likely to accelerate to

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