In high festive spirits

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Nov 05 2012, 03:56 IST
Q2FY13 profit beat as margins surprise, revenue slight miss: Overall revenue at Rs 22.8bn grew 9% and was 5% lower than consensus expectations, PAT (profit after tax) increased 21% to Rs 1.8 bn and was 4% ahead of consensus expectations. Watches’ revenue and volumes grew 13% and 4%. Jewellery registered revenue growth 6%, but an impressive PBIT (profit before interest and taxes) growth 35% led by 274bp expansion in Ebit (earnings before interest and taxes) margin to 12.5% as higher-margin studded jewellery share was 32% (up from 28%) and decline in low margin coins.

But revenue trends are encouraging: Overall revenue growth at 9% was below estimates as jewellery revenues grew 6%. But a closer look reveals much more encouraging picture: (i) Retail sales growth in jewellery came in at 17%, more than reported 6% as dealers delayed purchases, a trend that is likely to reverse in Q3. Tanishq revenue growth was at 19%. (ii). Gammage (volume) growth was—11% as expected, but this was due to 30% decline in low margin coins segment, and plain gold jewellery volumes fell just 1- 2%, which in our view was much better than expected.

(iii) Early trends of festive demand have been quite encouraging and the management appears upbeat about a pick-up in the jewellery demand in Q3. (iv) Titan added about 34K retailer areas in Q2 and bulk of the expansion was in self-owned stores. Aggressive retail expansion is progressing well in Q3 and the target of adding 200K jewellery retail areas this year

... contd.

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