High-beta stocks may outperform

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Sandesh Kirkire:  Jan 28 2013, 02:34 IST
Probably the most often asked question for an investment professional is, “When is the right time to invest”? Frankly, the answer to this is placed in the basic fact that, ‘when the investible valuations are attractive’. By this, I mean that the prices may not necessarily be rock-bottom (though would be ideal); but that the price at which you are buying an exposure into the asset is justified by its intrinsic value. This is important, especially in an asset class like equity.

That is because, the irrationality of excessive exuberance or pessimism tends to escalate or deflate the asset value than the fundamental strength of the stock would necessitate. Therefore, if an investor is not price-conscious, he/she may end up investing in an over-priced asset. Off course, buying an undervalued asset is ideal, but the prevalent sentiment tends to deter most retail investors from availing such opportunities. Thus, from a retail investor point of view, this value-consciousness is necessary. That is because; most of the investing periods tend to overlap in a largely sideways market.

Now, to appreciate the investment rationale in the current setup, the primary question to ask is; what does the environment suggest, to whom would it be beneficial (now or later), and is the price right? We know that our economy has moderated significantly since the heady 8% plus growth days. The latest growth estimates are in the 5.3% range. The IMF is putting its growth forecast for Indian economy at around 5.9% for CY2013.

... contd.

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