Good tidings for ’13

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Anil Rego:  Dec 28 2012, 00:05 IST
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With the second half of 2012 seeing a revival of sorts for the equity markets, the new year offers much hope

The year appears to be closing on a positive note for the equity markets, particularly the way the second half has turned out. We saw a fair amount of upheaval in 2012 — the markets saw an upswing and, then, a trend reversal; there were significant changes on the policy front, too; and gold rallied to a new high. Factors like widening current account deficit and rising inflation have been a cause of concern, but continuous policy actions from Reserve Bank of India have been of help.

Overall mood

For the first half of 2012, the so-called safe-haven instruments or fixed securities were much sought after. However, after July 2012, the demand for equity investments rose, resulting in a decline in government bond yields. Also, due to high interest rates, household expenditure/spending was lower. Consumers deferred their durable goods purchases and pre-closure of loans was also widely considered. One of the best investment options was gold, proving itself to be the ‘Mr Dependable’ of 2012.

Major policy changes

The RBI effected three revisions in the Cash Reserve Ratio (CRR) to ease the liquidity position. A major movement on the policy front came in the form of foreign direct investment (FDI) as the government announced that it is opening up the domestic airline, retail and media sectors. Multinational companies such as Carrefour and Walmart can now have 51% ownership. Foreign investors can

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