DUBAI: DESERT STORM

Gold’s dazzling rally halts, tumbles 5%

Sanjeeb Mukherjee

Posted: Saturday, Nov 28, 2009 at 2334 hrs IST
Updated: Saturday, Nov 28, 2009 at 2334 hrs IST


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New Delhi: Gold prices tumbled nearly 5% to below $1,140 an ounce on Friday, marking a one-week low, as investors, fearing debt default in Dubai, sought safety in dollars and cash. State-backed Dubai World has $59 billion of liabilities — a big chunk of the Emirate's total debt of $80 billion.

Silver hit a two-week low of $17.66 an ounce, while platinum and palladium touched one-week lows of $1,418.50 and $351 an ounce, respectively. Spot gold briefly hit a low of $1,136.80 a troy ounce, the lowest since November 16 and was bid at $1,160.00 an ounce at 1219 GMT from $1,192.60 on Thursday, when it hit $1,194.90 — a record high.

Gold prices in Delhi spot markets slumped by almost Rs 320 per 10 grams to close at Rs 17,850 per 10 grams in a day of intense volatility. The metal had slumped to around Rs 17,600 in intra-day trade. Silver prices in local spot markets dropped to Rs 28,000, marking a dip of around Rs 950 per kilogram.

Impact of the Dubai crisis also hit other commodities: lead was quoted at $2,305/2,310 from a close of $2,340 on Thursday, while its earlier drop was of 8% to $2,145, its lowest since early October. Nickel dropped to a four-month low of $15,751 a tonne, before recovering slightly at $16,125. Copper, for three-month delivery on the London Metal Exchange, traded at $6,770.5 a tonne, down almost 0.74% from the previous close. Agriculture commodities also bore the brunt of Dubai defaults as the dollar saw a gain. ICE March raw sugar futures fell 0.27 cent to 22.05 cents per pound Daniel Major, a metals analyst at RBS Global Banking & Markets, said, “It's mainly driven by this news out of Dubai (which) has had a large impact on risk appetite and has resulted in a sharply stronger dollar”.

The crisis in Dubai raised the specter of default and triggered a sell-off of risky assets such as commodities and stocks. The events in Dubai highlight the elevated level of sovereign risk heading into next year and the potential pockets of dollar strength that this can deliver, Deutsche Bank said in a research note. However, some analysts feel the recent gold purchases by Central Banks will keep investors interested in gold.

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