Expectations from India's 2013/14 Budget

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Reuters:  Feb 26 2013, 10:26 IST
FACTBOX - India will deliver on Thursday Budget 2013 for the fiscal year that starts on April 1. Finance Minister P. Chidambaram is expected to push fiscal consolidation through spending cuts while looking to increase revenues to ward off the threat of a credit rating downgrade.

Following are expectations from economists, analysts, investors and companies from the budget.

FISCAL DEFICIT

* Government target seen at 4.8 percent of gross domestic product for 2013/14

* Government has revised 2012/13 target to 5.3 percent of gross domestic product, compared with 5.1 percent estimated in the budget in March.

GROWTH

* Government's GDP growth forecast for 2013/14 seen at 6 to 6.5 percent, compared with a decade-low of 5 percent in 2012/13 according to estimates released by the ministry of statistics. The finance minister has said the economy should expand 5.5 percent in 2012/13.

BORROWING

* Analysts expect net government borrowing below 5 trillion rupees ($92.4 billion) in FY14, little changed from 4.67 trillion rupees in FY13

SUBSIDIES

* Total subsidy burden seen falling by 400 billion-500 billion rupees from estimated 2.6 trillion rupees in FY13

* Ratio of subsidy payments to GDP seen below 2 percent by the end of 2013/14, compared with

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