year after the first constitutional assembly collapsed. It has since recovered to 541.
"When people think the politicians will agree on a constitution, the index rises," said Panta. "When the politicians fight, it falls."
On that basis, the market might be heading lower. No party is expected to emerge strong enough from the elections to resolve a fight over how much power to give local governments.
In a sign of the volatility leading up to the vote, gunmen on a motorcycle shot and wounded a candidate last week.
Billionaire Chaudhary worries that Maoist splinter groups threatening protests will clash with troops or scare off voters, undermining the election's legitimacy.
Nepal's most successful capitalist is already dabbling in politics via a long association with the Communist Party of Nepal (Unified Marxist Leninist), which is these days seen as centre-left. He was a member of the constitutional assembly until it collapsed last year and says he will campaign for the party in these elections.
"I'm a political animal, I'm very much part of it," he said.
Chaudhary offers Pakistan's Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif and Thailand's former premier, Thaksin Shinawatra, as examples of businessmen-turned-politicians.
"It's going to be a very important decision for me. I would not like to wear two hats, I'd have to completely give up my current position and current role and involvement in business and then I'd have to work 100 percent full time with the single objective of transforming this country economically."