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New Delhi, Nov 13: With the impact of global financial crisis on India still unfolding, share and asset prices in general as well as balance sheet of financial institutions could decline further, says World Economic Forum.
“India remains vulnerable to the vagaries of the world currency, commodity and financial markets,” said WEF, which will hold a three-day India Economic Summit in Delhi from November 16, in its report.
However, in the long run, all the indicators of Indian economy point to sustainability of growth rates, said the report India@Risk, quoting earlier IMF projections of 7.9 % and 6.9 % for 2008 and 2009, respectively. IMF, however, further scaled down Indian economic growth outlook to 7.8 % and 6.3 % for these two years.
WEF said shrinking global economic growth could pose a challenge for Indian economy through further fall in share and asset prices as well as reducing balance sheets of financial institutions. The report added the crisis will also affect remittances to the country as most of them come from the US and Canada.
Already, the crisis has wiped off around $57 billion from the Indian economy for the first seven months of this fiscal, according to the latest figures from the RBI. Industrial growth partly rebounded to 4.8 % in September after a dismal 1.4 % in August, but analysts fear that October onwards, it would again fall drastically.
The WEF report said sluggish demand might affect Indian exports in the coming quarters. The latest figures showed that exports fell by 15 % in October. Referring to the risk in the energy sector, the report said increasing oil prices and consumption would add more pressure to the current account deficit of the country. —PTI
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