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to sustain the market at a certain level. But this is a known fact and history signals that FIIs (foreign institutional investors) are the biggest triggers of India’s equity markets. And looking ahead, growth will be dependent on global liquidity.
The most important question remains — what to do now? Should we liquidate our portfolios, is down by around 30%-40% or hold on for some more time? In this uncertain period, investors can use a few strategies, depending on their risk for appetite and preferences. Here are few of them:
High growth & momentum
Every investor wants to earn higher returns in lesser time. This has always attracted investors towards growth-oriented companies and momentum stocks as both move faster than defensive and dividend-yield stocks until the markets are good and going up. When the market declines, moementum stocks take a much more sharper decline and plummet faster due to higher price-earnings multiples. No doubt, growing companies are smart investments, but one must look at the past run-up in stocks. If the stock has delivered quick returns in less time, then the chances for its rise would be less. If you want to take exposure then one should book profits in the short-term.
These stocks can be bought after a heavy correction and by checking the price-earning multiples. If the price-to- earning growth ratio (PEG) is less than 1.5, it is said to be fairly valued and can be bought at this level. However, you cannot afford to ignore checking the track record and ability of the management to deliver the good results year-after-year.
Momentum stocks tend to be affected more by technical and herd mentality rather than actual fundamentals. In the bull phase, you will find lot of momentum scrips going up tremendously by almost 10-20 times. Your broker may have recommended some of the scrips and may not tell you the story behind the market runup. If you ignored a scrip and suddenly saw the same scrip having gone up by five times, and bought it to avail of the returns, You're in trouble. You may just become a victim, because that might be just the end of the run-up. Sometimes this may not be the case, and you could actually be lucky and get rich. But the point to be observed here, is that if you desire to buy these stocks, then watch the stock price run-up on...
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