2013 will be challenging for the shipping sector
You have seen the company through its ups and downs. How has the transition been?
I joined SCI straight from campus and have been here for close to 40 years. Shipping has been extremely cyclic and volatile in these years. I took over in 2005 and we saw an unprecedented growth from 2004 to 2008. We had profits of over R1,000 crore. But 2008 changed the world, especially shipping. In May 2008, the Baltic dry index was at an all-time high of 11,700 points and in the same year, by December, it collapsed to 660 points.
The oversupply seems to have eased. Does that mean 2013 may be good for shipping?
It is going to be another challenging year. There may be some improvements in the tanker business and there could be a turnaround from the end of 2013. But dry bulk is in the most difficult situation. The tonnage on order is still about 20% of the existing fleet, whereas in tanker it’s down to 11-12%. Since the orderbook of drybulk is much larger, it will take much more time for the demand-supply equilibrium
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