The south-west monsoon on Monday advanced to Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and parts of Bihar, a day after regions such as Odisha, Vidarbha, coastal Andhra Pradesh, Telangana and parts of Karnataka witnessed heavy rainfall.
According to India Meteorological Department (IMD), the country as whole has received 21% more rainfall than the normal till now, which would help in kharif sowing activities in the next few weeks.
According to the Met department, the quantum of rainfall during June 1-22 has been 126.1 millimetres, which is above normal by 21% from the benchmark of 103.8 mm arrived on the basis of a 50-year average shower.
“The conditions are favourable for further advance of southwest monsoon into remaining parts of Gujarat, Chhattisgarh, Jharkhand and Bihar, entire Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, most parts of Madhya Pradesh and some parts of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Chandigarh & Delhi and Rajasthan during next three days,” IMD said in its latest statement.
On the region wise distribution of rainfall, the central India has observed maximum amount of rain and is surplus by a huge 45% of benchmark while the south peninsula has experienced 35% more rainfall than normal so far. The east and northeast regions have received 3% more rainfall than the normal. However, rainfall in the northwest region is deficient by 7%, largely due to less rain in Uttar Pradesh.
The private weather forcaster Skymet in its bulletin said, “About 78% of the country’s area has received normal or excess rain till June 21. Out of the 36 sub-divisions, 14 sub-divisions recorded surplus rain, while rainfall in 12 sub-divisions has been normal.”
Key pulses and oil seeds growing regions — Rajasthan, Madhya Pradesh, Marathwada, Vidarbha, Saurashtra, Kutch, etc have received either normal or excess rainfall so far.
Most of the key rice growing states which contribute to central grain pool — Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Chhattisgarh and Odisha — have received normal or excess rainfall so far. Punjab and Haryana have got deficient rainfall till now. Besides Bihar, Jharkhand and Uttar Pradesh have received deficient or scanty rainfall
“Light rainfall is also likely over Punjab, Haryana, and Uttar Pradesh. This activity is expected to gain momentum over the next two days,” Skymet said in its statement.
The IMD earlier this month had revised downward its forecast of seasonal rainfall (June-September) for this year to 88% of a long-period average (LPA), from 93% reported in May. However, Skymet has predicted a normal monsoon, with showers at 102% of the LPA.
The Met department has also predicted that the rainfall over the country is likely to be 92% of LPA during July and 90% of LPA during August. LPA is calculated on the basis of the average annual rainfall recorded between 1951 and 2000 (89 cm) for the June to September period.