Asian shares eked out modest gains on Thursday while the dollar and U.S. bond yields slipped after the U.S. Federal Reserve signalled a cautious approach to future rate hikes and the reduction of its $4.5 trillion of bond holdings. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan advanced 0.3 percent, with South Korea leading with a 0.4 percent rise..
Japan’s Nikkei dipped 0.1 percent though MSCI Japan rose 0.4 percent in dollar terms. Minutes from the Fed’s last policy meeting showed policymakers agreed they should hold off on raising interest rates until it was clear a recent U.S. economic slowdown was temporary, though most said a hike was coming soon.
“Their views seem to have changed considerably. In the past, they had said the slowdown was transitory,” said Daisuke Uno, chief strategist at Sumitomo Mitsui Bank. The minutes also showed that policymakers favoured a gradual reduction in its massive balance sheet.
Fed staff proposed that the central bank set a cap on the amount of bonds that would be allowed to run off each month, initially setting it at a low level and raising it every three months. Following the minutes, the 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield fell to 2.252 percent from Wednesday’s high of 2.297 percent. Fed funds rate futures are pricing in about a 75 percent chance that the Fed will raise rates next month, moving down from more than 80 percent earlier this week .
The spectre of a slower pace of policy tightening underpinned share prices, with the S&P 500 closing at a record high.In the currency market, the euro traded up 0.1 percent in Asia at $1.1225, having bounced back from Wednesday’s low of $1.1168 and coming within sight of $1.1268, its 6 1/2-month high set on Tuesday.
The dollar stood at 111.59 yen, slipping from one-week highs of 112.13 touched on Wednesday.Those moves have pulled the dollar’s index against a basket of six major currencies down to 97.015, near Monday’s 6-1/2-month low of 96.797.The Canadian dollar strengthened to a five-week high of C$1.3405 per U.S. dollar after the Bank of Canada was more upbeat about the economy than some investors had expected.
Oil prices stayed near five-week highs as investors expect oil producing countries to extend output cuts at their meeting in Vienna later in the day. Benchmark Brent crude oil rose 20 cents a barrel, or 0.4 percent, to $54.16. U.S. light crude was up 20 cents, or 0.4 percent, at $51.56.
Both benchmarks have gained more than 10 percent from their May lows below $50 a barrel, rebounding on a consensus that OPEC and other producers will maintain strict limits on production in an attempt to drain persistent global oversupply.Elsewhere, digital currency bitcoin hit a fresh record high, having surged 170 percent in about two months from its March low.
Demand for crypto-assets soared with the creation of new tokens to raise funding for start-ups using blockchain technology.