1. Asian shares dip, soaring US bond yields rattle emerging markets

Asian shares dip, soaring US bond yields rattle emerging markets

Asian shares dipped while the dollar strengthened broadly on Friday as US bond yields soared on expectations U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's policies would stoke inflation.

By: | Published: November 11, 2016 6:28 AM
Asian shares dipped while the dollar strengthened broadly on Friday as US bond yields soared on expectations U.S. President-elect Donald Trump's policies would stoke inflation. (Reuters) Asian shares dipped while the dollar strengthened broadly on Friday as US bond yields soared on expectations U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s policies would stoke inflation. (Reuters)

Asian shares dipped while the dollar strengthened broadly on Friday as US bond yields soared on expectations U.S. President-elect Donald Trump’s policies would stoke inflation. MSCI’s broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan fell 0.2 percent, with Korean shares off 0.5 percent. Australian shares eked out small gains of 0.1 per cent. Japan’s Nikkei also rose more than 1 percent to 6-1/2-month highs thanks to a weaker yen.

On Wall Street, U.S. S&P 500 Index rose 0.2 percent while the Dow Jones industrial average jumped 1.2 percent, smashing through its previous record high set in August by almost 1 percent.

In contrast, the technology-heavy Nasdaq fell 0.8 percent , with Apple dropping 2.8 percent.

“The market’s focus has shifted to Trump’s policy after the initial knee-jerk risk-off reaction. The markets think he is likely to protect the U.S. domestic economy, especially the old economy,” said Koichi Yoshikawa, executive director of financial markets at Standard Chartered Bank.

“That explains why the Dow was up and the Nasdaq was weak,” he added.

Financial sector surged 3.7 percent to its highest since the 2008 global financial crisis, as Trump has sided with leading conservatives in calling for the repeal of the 2010 Dodd-Frank Financial Reform Act largely opposed by banks.

U.S. bond markets also saw dramatic moves since Trump’s victory, with the 10-year U.S. Treasury yields hitting their highest levels in 10 months.

Expectations that his policy stance – from protectionism and fiscal expansion – will boost inflation have been driving the surge in U.S. yields.

The 10-year U.S. yield rose to 2.15 percent, almost 30 basis points, or 0.30 percentage point, above its levels around 1.86 percent just before the U.S. election.

The 30-year yield rose 38 basis points, posting its biggest weekly jump since 2009 before a U.S. market holiday on Friday.

Soaring U.S. yields have been a boon to dollar bulls. The euro dipped to $1.08905, compared to $1.1025 before the U.S. elections.

The dollar strengthened sharply against the yen, which has traditionally a strong inverse correlation with U.S. yields because higher U.S. yields encourage Japanese investors to buy more U.S. debt.

The dollar rose to as high as 106.95 yen, its highest since late July, compared to around 105.15 yen before the elections.

On the other hand, some emerging market currencies were hammered by concerns investors could pull back their funds out of higher-yielding emerging countries to the U.S.

The Mexico peso, which has been hit by Trump’s threat to scrap the country’s key free trade agreement with the United States and build a massive wall along the border, sank to near its record low.

The peso has fallen 7.5 percent so far this week.

The Brazilian real shed 5 percent on Thursday to a five-month low while its benchmark Bovespa stock index slumped 3.3 percent.

In Asia, the Korean won is under pressure because of concerns about Trump’s foreign policy and his commitment to security in East Asia. The won traded at its lowest level in more than four months.

Markets are also expecting the U.S. Federal Reserve to go ahead with a rate hike in December, given signs of stability in the U.S. share markets.

The money market futures are pricing in about 75 percent chance of a rate hike.

In a remarkable shift of sentiment, the market is also now starting to price in a chance of a rate hike by the European Central Bank for the first time since 2011.

Elsewhere, oil prices eased as the market looked to whether OPEC will decide later this month to cut production to address long-running over supply concerns.

U.S. crude futures fell 0.5 percent to $44.42 per barrel.

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