Presidential Election 2017: The Indian Presidential Elections are getting closer day by day and everyone is keen to know about the presidential candidates to be pitted against each other by the ruling National Democratic Alliance (NDA) and the Opposition. Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) sources have revealed to ANI that NDA’s presidential candidate is likely to be announced on June 23rd. While the opposition parties are yet to reach a consensus on a joint candidate. In the current scenario – the million dollar question is – who will Narendra Modi and Amit Shah pick as their choice for the President? While we have to wait at least 10 days to know the answer, another big question which emerges is – what are the prospects of the NDA’s candidate actually winning the elections?
The winner in Indian Presidential Election is obtained by an Electoral College system. The one who receives more than half the votes polled is declared as the winner. In the current scenario, a candidate is required to cross the halfway mark of 5,49,442 votes in order to win the elections. The total strength of Electoral College is 10,98,882 votes. All the lawmakers, i.e Members of Parliament and Members of Legislative Assemblies vote in the election. It should be noted that members of Legislative Council in states and nominated lawmakers don’t vote in the election.
Each vote comes with fixed vote value. The value of each MP’s vote is fixed at 708. While the value of each MLA’s vote differ from state to state. UP, the most populous state in the country, has the maximum vote value per MLA – 208 – and a total of 83, 824 votes in the EC.
While the NDA is in power at the Centre, its government rules in at least 14 states out of a total 29. The BJP is currently ruling Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa , Manipur, Maharashtra, Gujarat, Haryana, Chhattisgarh, Rajasthan, Jharkhand, Madhya Pradesh and Assam. Also, it is in power in Jammu and Kashmir and Andhra Pradesh.
The saffron party currently has 282 MPs in Lok Sabha, 56 MPs in Rajya Sabha and whopping 1382 MLAs (Data: Huffington Post) in total in Legislative Assemblies. Now, the total of party’s electoral votes, along with allies, sums up to 5,24,920 (Data Credit: Hindustan Times) – only 24, 522 short of what is required.
For the marginal electoral gap, the party may seek help from AIADMK or DMK – parties dominating Dravidian state of Tamil Nadu – BJP is not alligned with any of them yet, as both of the parties have differences with latter on the issue of imposition of Hindi and cattle slaughter. The value of votes of Tamil Nadu Assembly MLAs stands at 41184 – a number which can well fill thw void being faced by BJP. All in all, in the current scenario, the presidential pick from Modi and Amit Shah is not likely to face much of the difficulties even if the entire opposition comes under one roof. Seemingly, times are tough for the Opposition and likely to get worse.