In a major relief, south-west monsoon has covered the southern-most part of India including the Andaman Sea, Nicobar Islands and parts of the Bay of Bengal. According to a statement released by the India Meteorological Department today, “In view of the strengthening and deepening of southwesterly winds, persistent cloudiness & rainfall, the southwest monsoon has advanced into some parts of south-east Bay of Bengal, Nicobar Islands, entire south Andaman sea and some parts of north Andaman Sea today.”
The statement further states,”Conditions are favourable for further advance of south-west monsoon into some parts of south-west Bay of Bengal, some more parts of southeast Bay of Bengal, remaining parts of Andaman sea and Andaman & Nicobar Islands and some parts of east-central Bay of Bengal during next 72 hours.”
Earlier this week, IMD had said that the monsoon this year could be ‘normal’ and bring 100 per cent rainfall instead of 96 per cent as predicted earlier. K J Ramesh, the Director General of IMD said, “the recent development on El-Nino indicates that the monsoon could be normal this year and it could reach 100 per cent of the long period average (LPA).” El Nino is a phenomenon associated with warming of Pacific waters. The initial forecast of the IMD said that the monsoon this year could be 96 per cent of the LPA which is ‘near normal.’
K J Ramesh further added, “Australia’s Bureau of Meteorology too downgraded the occurrence of El-Nino this year. We hope that prospects of monsoon could improve slightly.”
IMD Director General K G Ramesh, however, said it was too early to forecast whether the monsoon would hit the Kerala coast ahead of schedule. The normal onset date over Kerala, termed as the official arrival of the seasonal rainfall in India, is June 1.