Even as exit polls have predicted a comfortable win for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) in the MCD election 2017, leaders of the saffron party along with other leading competitors — AAP and Congress — would have their fingers crossed until final results are announced tomorrow.
The result of 272 wards of three civic bodies in Delhi — South Delhi Municipal Corporation (SDMC), North Delhi Municipal Corporation (NDMC) and East Delhi Municipal Corporation (EDMC) — would be out on Wednesday.
The run-up to the election was controversial with Delhi Chief Minister Arvind Kejriwal alleging EVM tampering even on the day of the poll. The Congress was hit by an internal rebellion, while the BJP had denied tickets to all sitting ward members. The controversies, however, are still on after the election.
On Monday, Kejriwal trashed exit poll results, alleging “unabated tampering of EVMs” across India and “betrayal”. The Delhi CM said he would launch a “movement” if the predictions come true. “If such results come then it proves that manipulation has happened, like in Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Pune, Mumbai, Bhind and Dholpur. We are the product of a movement. We are not here to enjoy the pleasures of power. We will return to movement,” he said.
It is now apparently certain that AAP would reject the MCD election result if it loses ground to the BJP, or even the Congress, and the controversy over the EVMs may continue for long.
The ABP C-voter exit poll has predicted 218 out of 272 seats and 58% votes for the BJP, while the AAP may end up only with 18% votes and 24 seats. The Congress may get 22 seats and 10% votes.
Another exit poll by Aaj Tak-Axis My India has predicted that the BJP may get 202-220 seats, while the AAP and Congress may get 23-35 and 19-31 seats respectively. According to a survey by Delhi University’s Developing Countries Research Centre (DRCC), BJP may get around 214 seats, while the AAP may get 29 and the Congress just 24.
— Manoj Tiwari (@ManojTiwariMP) April 22, 2017
Both Congress and AAP leaders are convinced that these surveys are biased and the actual result may be completely different from what has been predicted until now. On April 21, Congress’ Delhi state president Ajay Maken had predicted that his party would win upto 208 seats of the three corporations.
“As per an internal survey conducted with a sample size of 52,000 voters in 13,000 polling booths, Congress will win 208 wards among a total of 272 in three municipal corporations,” Maken was quoted as saying by PTI. The Congress leader had even attacked BJP and AAP of running a “negative campaign”.
A similar internal survey by AAP had predicted that the party would win 218 of 272 wards in Delhi. It had predicted only 39 seats for the BJP and eight for the Congress.
A day before the election on April 23, Kejriwal had posted a video on Facebook by apparently threatening Delhi voters that they would face diseases like dengue and chikungunya if BJP gets to rule the MCD again. These vector-borne diseases have claimed several lives in the last few years in the National Capital. The AAP government in Delhi blames the BJP, which has already ruled the MCD for the last 10 years, for all the hygiene woes in the city. In contrast, the BJP blames AAP government of choking the MCD by not releasing adequate funds. Blame-game apart, the exit polls have shown BJP may return to rule the MCD with a bigger majority than the past.
Waiting for MCD Results?
Compare from last elections in 2015!
Let’s see who wins and who gains the most! pic.twitter.com/5kDAmRgmEA
— Ajay Maken (@ajaymaken) April 25, 2017
If the exit polls prove wrong, AAP or Congress may see happier days in Delhi, while the BJP would have to be content with results for the recent Assembly election in five states. In the case of an AAP or Congress’ loss, the internal rebellion brewing within both parties may intensify.