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The
post-scam agenda
Sebi
must push through electronic funds transfer and margin trading
Sourav
Majumdar
The
scam of 2001 has had at least one positive fallout: it has
stirred the powers-that-be out of their stupor and made them
chalk out some sort of agenda for the future of the country’s
stockmarkets. For instance, just after the Ketan Parekh-led
scandal rocked the country’s capital market and banking system,
and the crisis over the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE) leadership
broke, the finance ministry sat up, took quick note of the
problems and announced a series of moves to push through further
reforms of the stockmarkets. The irony was, however, that
the stockmarket regulator, the Securities and Exchange Board
of India (Sebi) earlier appeared reluctant to push through
some of these measures, particularly the introduction of rolling
settlement in the major stocks.
However, all that was then pushed through despite Sebi and,
following July 2, the markets have ushered in rolling settlements
in 414 major stocks. The other crucial and arguably bold step
which has been taken as part of the clean up package has been
the abolition of carryforward trading in all its various forms
and its substitution with options on individual stocks. This
one move, which Sebi finally took after some dithering, has
gone a long way in restoring a semblance of credibility in
an otherwise crumbling market environment.
I remember when I supported a ban on badla in these columns
earlier, I was told by a television anchor on a show that
I should take security cover before visiting the stockmarket
area! However, badla has successfully been banned and I still
continue moving about Mumbai’s office areas without any fear
of being bashed up by irate brokers.
The fact of the matter is, having made some positive steps
despite the dark shadows of the scam, the second generation
market reforms are still showing signs of slowing down and
even getting stuck in some cases. Take, for instance, the
repeated rumours that have begun surfacing relating to the
return of “some kind of hedging mechanism” all over again.
This is clearly a function of what market players see as abysmally
low volumes on the bourses, and is attributed to the fact
that there is no depth and liquidity following the demise
of badla and the introduction of rolling settlements.
Nothing can be further from the truth. The demise of badla
is possibly the best thing to have happened to the markets
in this country, misused and abused as it was by a certain
section of players.
The introduction of rolling settlements has also robbed speculators,
who were trying to gain a stranglehold on the markets, of
an easy route to make money by punting throughout the weekly
account-period settlements. However, it is true that turnovers
on the bourses today are a fraction of what they used to be
about six months ago. About Rs 10,000 crore of trading (combining
both BSE and the National Stock Exchange) used to take place
previously, which has now shrunk to around Rs 2,000 crore.
But it is also true that an overwhelming part of those heady
turnovers were on account of speculative activity, not resulting
in delivery.
While it is true that the depth as seen in terms of turnovers
has taken some hit after the introduction of rolling settlement,
it is now imperative for the rulemakers in the market to ensure
that the second generation reforms of the financial and corporate
sector now take place quickly so that both depth and confidence
are restored. One major issue which needs to be sorted out
is that of an electronic funds transfer (EFT) mechanism in
the banking sector which has a direct bearing on rolling settlements.
If the market players do not get the facility of real-time
funds transfers, the entire rolling settlement system is bound
to be affected since funds take a long time even now to be
cleared from one end of the transaction to the other. EFT
has been discussed for quite some time now, but the introduction
of rolling settlement has now necessitated that real-time
funds transfer has to be pushed through at the earliest. As
stockmarkets regulator, Sebi has a role to play in pushing
this agenda through.
Yet another banking issue is that of margin trading, which
could go a long way in imparting the necessary liquidity into
the markets system. The first step in this direction has already
been taken by Sebi which has suggested that banks should lend
funds to the stockmarket system through the exchanges. This,
most market players feel, may replace the perceived vacuum
created by the abolition of badla. The bottomline in all this
is that with the scam now behind us, it is imperative that
the country’s stockmarket and banking regulators get together
to chalk out a clear cut strategy to set up the infrastructure
which would make transactions easy in the new environment
and impart the necessary depth to the system. Only that can
ensure that the gains which have been made in the past few
months are not frittered away at the altar of inefficient
follow up measures.
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