The early leads are showing that it is a contest between BJP and SP-congress alliance. While it is too early to say what will play out ultimately, an early trend is pointing towards BJP. It seems that BJPs demonetisation, development plank and even the kabristan remarks have found takers amongst the Uttar Pradesh janta. BJP is leading in double the constituencies and the results are coming from only two constituencies so far. The strategy for BJP this time is to consolidate all classes. BJP from west to central to north east is showing a lead.
However, four exit poll surveys predicted a hung assembly for UP, with BJP coming out as the largest party, while two poll services thought that the saffron party will sweep the elections single-handedly. Times Now-VMR exit poll pointed to a possible clear majority in favour of BJP with 190-210 seats.
The poll saw the SP-Congress alliance trail with 110-130 seats, while the Mayawati-led BSP gets 57-74 seats. Others were secure eight seats. MRC-NewsX exit poll data had also predicted a BJP lead in UP with 185 seats. SP-Congress in second with 120, BSP with 90 and Others with eight round up the poll.
India News-MRC survey said that the BJP will secure 188 seats, while SP-Congress alliance will get 120. It sees BSP in third with 90 seats. ABP News-Lokniti exit poll projected a BJP wave in the first four phases: BJP – 102-126 | SP-Cong 98-122 | BSP – 30-46 | Others 0-2. However, Chanakya and India Today-Axis My India had predicted that the BJP would not only emerge victorious in the Hindi heartland but sweep the state with a landslide win. Chankaya put BJP at 285 while Axis-My India projected over 250 seats for the party.