1. Monsoon in 2015 likely to remain normal: Assocham-Skymet

Monsoon in 2015 likely to remain normal: Assocham-Skymet

India is likely to witness a normal monsoon across the country in 2015, but rainfall in some pockets might be deficient, says a study.

By: | New Delhi | Published: March 22, 2015 12:46 PM
monsoon, monsoon in India, monsoon 2015, monsoon in 2015, India, rainfall, Assocham, Assocham Skymet Weather report, drought India is likely to witness a normal monsoon across the country in 2015, but rainfall in some pockets might be deficient, says a study. (Reuters)

India is likely to witness a normal monsoon across the country in 2015, but rainfall in some pockets might be deficient, says a study.

According to the Assocham-Skymet Weather joint report, the damage to Rabi crop due to unseasonal rains shall continue and a major spell of rainfall is expected next month in North India, especially in the first week of April.

“Forecast of normal Monsoon this year seems distributed uniformly throughout the country. However, some pockets that might be deficient (by a narrow margin) include Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Marathwada, Rayalseema, South Interior Karnataka, North Tamil Nadu and parts of the North East,” the report said.

The agriculture sector, which contributes about 15 per cent to the country’s GDP but employs more than 50 per cent of the population, is highly dependent on monsoon rains as about 60 per cent of the cultivable area is rain-fed.

“The chance of a back-to-back drought is three per cent (2014 was a mild meteorological drought). Besides, there is still no clear signal about the emergence of an Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) this year during Monsoon,” Skymet CEO Jatin Singh said.

Last year, India faced 12 per cent deficient rainfall last year at the end of the four-month-long south-west monsoon season, which begins with onset of rains in Kerala, usually on June 1 and ends on September 30.

monsoon, monsoon in India, monsoon 2015, monsoon in 2015, India, rainfall, Assocham, Assocham Skymet Weather report, drought According to government estimates, country’s foodgrain production is expected to decline by 3.2 per cent to 257.07 million tonnes in 2014-15 crop year (July-June) from the record 265.57 million tonnes in 2013-14. (Reuters)

According to government estimates, country’s foodgrain production is expected to decline by 3.2 per cent to 257.07 million tonnes in 2014-15 crop year (July-June) from the record 265.57 million tonnes in 2013-14.

On the unseasonal rains this month, the study said: “More wet weather was in the offing in April and the damage to the Rabi crop would continue. A major rainfall spell is expected in the first week of April in North India.”

Unseasonal rains this month have destroyed standing rabi crop in various states across the country and has led to the opposition demanding a relief package from the government.

Last week, Minister of State for Agriculture Mohanbhai Kundaria had told Rajya Sabha that unseasonal rains and hailstorms in various parts during March have “adversely affected” the production of Rabi crops.

Unseasonal rains and hailstorms have affected crops in Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Maharashtra, Rajasthan, Haryana, Punjab, Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Himachal Pradesh, Jammu & Kashmir, Telangana, Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal.

Wheat, mustard and gram are the major Rabi (winter-sown) crops.

  1. G
    Gopinathan Krishnan
    Apr 23, 2015 at 5:26 pm
    “Forecast of normal Monsoon this year seems distributed uniformly throughout the country. However, some pockets that might be deficient (by a narrow margin) include Himachal Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Uttarakhand, Marathwada, Rayalseema, South Interior Karnataka, North Tamil Nadu and parts of the North East,” the report said. What happened to your earlier forecast of higher rainall in the central India? Gopinathan Krishnan is a retired CSIR Scientist
    Reply
    1. V
      Venugopal
      Jun 7, 2015 at 11:08 am
      Timely rains will not be got henceforth until man reforms himself from exploiting nature. The reforming stage is over and man has to toil till the end of the world (after that a new world will be created as per GOD's decision) without enough (nay, not at all) water to drink and wash his nasty body. Ugly s.
      Reply

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