UPA And Inflation

Updated: Aug 11 2004, 05:30am hrs
After the Congress-led UPA government came to power, the inflation rate, which was less than five per cent in May this year, has been mounting steadily. This against the assurance made in its Common Minimum Programme that the prices of essential commodities would remain under check.
The UPA government has in its team super economists but, unfortunately, India is heading towards double-digit inflation. I am familiar with the idiom: “Too many cooks spoil the broth”.
V Krishnakumar


The inflation rate has surged to 7.52 per cent. This abnormal hike is attributable primarily to price of petroleum products where from state and central governments and refineries are making money at the cost of the common man. It seems that the government has no definite plan on conservation measures, targetted at saving at least 5 per cent per annum and towards achieving a shift in favour of indigenous fuel resources. Long-term integrated energy policy is something upon which the central government has turned a deaf ear.
C R Bhattacharjee

The Big Apple
I refer to the NYT news item ‘Apple’s music operations strike a sour note’ (Aug 5). It says, “The heretics will say the heck with it, log onto Kazaa or some other peer-to-peer file-swapping service, and steal music instead.” The heretics Are they referring to all those who were stealing music before the iTunes music store existed Or to only those who were also stealing music before iPod existed
“It’s also an incitement to steal music. Only honest music lovers have to worry as they buy from RealAudio or iTunes or the new, legal version of Napster, about which music players will play which songs.” Right. And the dishonest people will use any excuse to do what they do, just as they were doing before ITMS existed. Are they saying that music stealing will increase because the Apple/Real spat will push some of the honest ones over the edge
— Ken McKee, Durham, NC

Met Models
The reason we cannot predict rainfall on a district-wise scale has to do with using statistical models that use input factors like temperature etc, and the correlations between observed variables and rainfall in the district. Even if such data was available right now, establishing the relationships is difficult. Therefore predicting rainfall correctly in this way is difficult. Moreover, this is an empirical process. The statistical models are not based on actual physics.
If on the other hand a gridded model is used, at least a three-day accurate forecast (theoretically) for any location in India could be done. To do these one can use global model predictions like those from the Aviation model or ECMWF, that gives global predictions for several days in advance, and use it to guide a higher resolution gridded model for India. Such models indeed exist. The best bet for India would be a combination of the statistical and gridded model.
— Deepak Ray, Huntsville, USA