At a run rate of Rs 7,000 crore a month between April and December, the quantum of corporate loans restructured by banks has been unbelievably high; even in 2011-12, the total amount of debt recast by the corporate debt restructuring (CDR) cell was a modest Rs 32,000 crore. While there is no doubt that corporate cash flows have been strained in a slow-moving economy, much of the mess that companies find themselves is of their own makingsome have been needlessly ambitious while making acquisitions, and others have expanded capacities without the necessary capital in place and find themselves hugely over-leveraged. So far, the Reserve Bank of India hasnt appeared overly concerned about the size of recasts as it had not tightened the rules for restructuring; banks have been allowed to classify restructured loans as standard assets and till very recently were making a provision of just 2% on these bad loans. Which is probably why they have tended to be generous while granting easier repayment terms for lenders, at times going to ridiculous extentslike converting a part of the debt of Kingfisher Airlines into equity. However, that should soon change, since RBI now suggests, in a set of draft guidelines based on the recommendations of the Mahapatra committee, that after 2015 any restructured loan will be automatically downgraded to a sub-standard one. In the meantime, provisions on the current portfolio of restructured loans will be upped from 2.75% to 3.75% by FY14 and further to 5% by FY15, and starting FY14, any new addition to the restructured portfolio will attract provisioning at 5%. This, together with other rulesafter FY15 even infra loans will attract higher provisioningshould make banks less eager to heed to borrowers requests for lenient repayment schedules.
Its not clear why it was necessary for RBI to make the point that bankers shouldnt artificially reduce the net present value of cash flows by resorting to any sort of financial engineering while calculating the diminution in the fair value of the exposure. The comment reflects poorly on banks suggesting that they havent always played by the book. They will from now on, since the new guidelines will make it costlier for them to restructure debt; analysts estimate that, in some cases, the cost resulting from the larger provisioning could be higher than the cost of classifying the asset as a non-performing loan. Clearly, in such cases, it would make sense to simply write off the exposure. Meanwhile, earnings will take a hit, especially for banks like Punjab National Bank whose restructured assets account for close to 10% of its loan bookfor the industry, earnings could be lower by anywhere between 3-8% in the next couple of years since RBIs new norms also make it harder for banks to upgrade the asset. To be sure, promoters will have a harder time getting their proposals cleared; they need to cough up at least 15% of what the lenders are giving up or 2% of the debt being recast, whichever is higher. Also, personal guarantees are a must. The guidelines may keep banks from restructuring recklessly but one cant help feeling the damage has been done.