Gas from the two Myanmar blocks are transported though a 870-km cross-border pipeline to China. Since late July, energy-hungry China has been buying natural gas from the A1 and A3 blocks.
The price of $9/ mmBtu for the Myanmar gas is comparable to domestic gas prices in China that have recently been hiked for non-residential consumers by about 15.4% to an average of 1.95 yuan per cubic metre or about $8.90/mmBtu. Pipeline imports from neighbouring countries like Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan are higher at around $10/mmBtu.
For India, this signifies a missed opportunity. OVL and GAIL officials say though they had proposed to import this gas into India through northeastern states, Beijing prevailed upon Naypyidaw to sign an agreement to supply gas exclusively to it. India now imports LNG from countries like Qatar and Australia.
Asian importers like India, China, Japan and South Korea along with Latin American countries like Brazil pay the highest prices for LNG at around $13-16/mmBtu, according to the US Federal Energy Regulatory Commission.
Indias demand for imported natural gas has been rising as domestic production has steadily declined over the last two years to 111 million standard cubic metres per day (mmscmd) in 2012-13 from 143 mmscmd in 2010-11 mainly due to fall in production of the Reliance Industries KG-D6 block.
At its full capacity, the Myanmar-China pipeline can supply about 12 billion cubic metres (bcm) per year. Block A-1 extends over an area of 2,129 sq km off the Rakhine Coast in the Arakan offshore field in northwestern Myanmar, while the adjacent block A-3 covers an area of 3,441 sq km.
OVL and GAIL hold a participating interest of 17% and 8.5%, respectively, in the A1 and A3 blocks, with the remaining stakes held by Daewoo at 51%, Korea Gas Corporation at 8.5% and Myanmar Oil & Gas Enterprise (MOGE) at 15%. PetroChina, which is buying the gas, has no stakes in these two blocks. OVL and GAIL also hold a stake of 8.5% and 4.2%, respectively, in the pipeline to transport the gas to China. Chinas CNPC (50.9%), Daewoo (25.041%), MOGE (7.365%) and KOGAS (4.1735%) are the other stakeholders.
A GAIL official told FE that despite numerous efforts by the Indian government and the two Indian companies involved in the project, they could not divert gas to India. The official, however, said GAIL would earn around Rs 400 crore per annum from the project. Given that OVL holds twice the size of GAILs stake, it is expected to earn about Rs 800 crore per annum, though OVL officials did not wish to comment.
OVL managing director DK Sarraf said that the volumes being transported are very small at the moment and significant volumes will be achieved only by next year. Sarraf said that the Myanmar gas price was formulated using a complex formula of global oil and gas prices. It is a very remunerative price. I cannot disclose the exact price owing to contractual confidentiality, he said.
China still produces the majority of its own gas domestically. Of the 146.6 bcm it consumed in 2012, it produced 107.2 bcm and imported 39.4 bcm. Turkmenistan is Chinas largest foreign supplier of natural gas at around 21.3 billion cubic meters (bcm), or 51.4% of imports.