US will be self-reliant in energy in 5-7 years

Written by Fareed Zakaria | Updated: Feb 13 2013, 20:31pm hrs
Mukesh Ambani hasnt given a TV interview in almost a decade. He has never let TV cameras into his 27-storey home in Mumbai. Until now. CNNs Fareed Zakaria GPS features an interview with Reliance Industries chairman Mukesh Ambani :

Tell me, you have a vantage point to look at the global economy. You run Indias largest company. Where do you think we are, um, five years after the financial crisis began

Well, Im more optimistic than most. And, my view is that this year, we will see the beginning of a recovery, particularly in the US.

And youand youyou think that thats because just the inherent strengths of the US economy

There has been a fundamental transformation in the energy scene in the US. For many decades, we have heard that the US will be independent of foreign imports of energy. Realistically, I can now tell you that it is my judgement that this will happen in the next five or seven years, The US has truly found non-conventional energy in shale oil and gas which is really, really bringing benefit not only to the population in the US, but, really, to across the world.

Youve invested in solar Do you think, in the next 10 or 15 years, the costs will come down dramatically

Absolutely. I think so. And I think that, ultimately, the way I think about energy is that we will transit from what I call a hydrocarbon present, which is coal, oil and natural gas, over the next many decades, into a fully renewable, sustainable future. And solar really will be at the heart of it.

Let me ask you about the hydrocarbon present. You run the largest refinery in the world in Jamnagar. What will happen, if there were a military strike on Iran What would happen to the price of oil, in your estimation

Well, I think that the world is a lot more saner. My own view is that if we see small blips, I think that we have a resilient enough system. And today, there ifthere is enough spare capacity, right, in the system to take care of eventualities.

You were very bullish about the United States, probably more bullish than a lot of Americans. What about the other key drivers of the world economy Because a lot of people say, look, China is slowing down, Brazil has slowed down, India has slowed down. What do you think of the emerging markets story

I think that China is maintaining steady growth. Its not decelerating. Europe has found its own transition path. And they will transgress through the financial system in an orderly way, India has had some slow growth, but I am really very optimistic on India. I think that...

Why is that Explain that, because inwhen people look at India today, they see growth is at 5.5% now. You talk to foreign investors and they say the infrastructure is terrible, the government, you know, doesnt do enough reform, its very difficult to operate in India. You look at all that and youre notyoure notyoure still bullish

Well, Im very bullish on India because its really the aspirations of a billion people. And ours is a country where all the billion count. There are some countries in the world where one person counts. There are some countries where the politburo of 12 people count, right. The beauty of India is that all our billion people count. And they have aspirations. And it is really a bottom-up story. Its not a top-down story. So, yes, we will adjust with what happens in the rest of the world, but we are on a long-term growth trajectory. And this is just not growth in terms of GDP numbers, right. This really is for well-being of each and every Indian. And thats the aspiration.

Do you think that one of the problems India has to deal with is inequality It is still one of the poorest countries in the world, and yet it has the second largest number of billionaires in Asia. People worry about the growing inequality.

If you think about inequality, thats not only a problem in our country. Its really the problem all across the world. Income comes from opportunity. You take our own example, as Reliance. My father started Reliance with 100, right. When I joined Reliance in 1980, uh, the market value of Reliance was $30 million or $40 million. And in 30 years, right, the opportunities that were provided, uh, by this country has enabled us to create wealth for India. My father was a big believer that any business that has the sole purpose of making money is not worth doing, right. Business must serve a larger societal purpose. Reliance raised all its money from capital markets and from individual small shareholders. So weve created a million millionaires just by investing in Reliance out of ordinary Indians. And that is the process of creating wealth for the country. Once you create opportunity, wealth comes.

But do you agree, you youve heard all this criticism, that you, in particular, have responsibility. You are the richest Indian. You run the largest company in India. You live in this fabulous house that was, you know, talked about much. Do you see yourself as having a special responsibility

Yes, of course. The way I think about these things is I really have my father as -- as -- as my role model. And he started off, uh, with nothing. And one of the things that he said to me is that you really dont know, Mukesh, what it is to be poor, right. And make sure that you maintain everybodys self-respect. So when you give, people hold their hand on this basis, dont give on that basis, right. When you give, and if people hold their hand like this, that means they bless you. Thats the way to give. And in a certain sense, some amount of anonymous giving or doing things that change societies, doing things that leave a lasting impact, and even if it be creation of businesses, creation of jobs, right, creation of sustainable institutions that last beyond you, is the best way that you can contribute to India.

Mukesh Ambani, a pleasure to have you on. Thank you, Fareed. It was a pleasure.